Probability and Statistics, Econ 15A-B
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Basic Information
TA: Bennett Holman Email
Office Hours: W 12 - 2p
Office Location: SST 786

TA:  Rory Smead Email
Office Hours: Th 1 - 3p
Office Location: SST 792

TA:  Eric Updike Email
Office Hours: T 2:30-3:30p, 5-6p
Office Location: SST 795

TA:  Shunan Zhang Email
Office Hours: M 10a - 12p
Office Location: SSL 477


Lab Sections
All labs are in SST 155

M   9:00 - 9:50a
Bennett 

M  2:00 - 2:50p
Shunan

M   6:00 - 6:50p
Bennett

Tu  5:00 - 5:50p
Bennett

Th   11:00 - 11:50a

Rory

Th   6:00 - 6:50
Shunan

F   5:00 - 5:50p
Rory


Required Text: Ramsey, James B. 2002. The Elements of Statistics, with Applications to Economics and the Social Sciences. Belmont, CA: Duxbury.

Picture of the book


Required Software: EViews. Quantitative Micro Software. A one-year software package can be purchased for $30 at the computer store (upstairs) in the UCI campus bookstore. If you're low on money (or just a cheapskate), you don't need to buy this software. It should beinstalled on all computer labs in the School of Social Sciences, as well as most of the public access NACS labs on campus. (EViews is not on all campus computers; e.g., it is not on the reference terminals in the libraries.) All computing assignments must be completed using EViews; using other software (e.g., SPLUS, SPSS, etc.) is not permitted.


Schedule

Calendar:

 [These calendars are public; you can add them to your own, if you use Google Calendars, or something compatible with them. The Orange calendar is named in the embedding; the Blue calendar is Weeks.]

 

Homeworks and Lecture Notes:

Warning: These notes are highly subject to change before they are covered in the lecture; (mis)use at your own risk!
HomeworkA1
HomeworkA2
HomeworkB1
HomeworkB2
Chap00/01
Chap07
Chap02
Chap08
Chap03
Chap09
Chap04
Chap10
Chap05
Chap11
Chap06
Chap12

 Warning: The list below is highly subject to change before the relevant topics are covered in lecture; (mis)use at your own risk!

What you Need to Know from each chapter

 

Approximate Syllabus (subject to change!):

Econ 15A

 

Econ 15B

Tuesday

Thursday

 

Tuesday

Thursday

 Chap00

 Chap00/02

Week 1

 Chap08

 Chap08

 Chap02/03

 Chap03/04

Week 2

 Chap08

 Chap08

 Chap04

 Chap04

Week 3

 Chap08

 Review

 Review 

 Test 1

Week 4

 Test 1

 Chap10

 Chap05

 Chap05/06

Week 5

 Chap10 

 Chap10

 Chap06

 Chap06

Week 6

 Chap10

 Review

 Review  

 Test 2

Week 7

Test 2

Chap11

Chap06/07    

 Chap07 

Week 8

 Chap11

 Chap11

 Chap07

 Review

Week 9

 Chap11

 Review

 Test 3

 Review

Week 10

 Test 3

 Review

 


Grading

Exams: 85 points total

  • 3 midterms, 1 final, taking the best 3 out of 4

Homework: 15 points total

  • 2 computer assignments designed to ensure familiarity with statistical software.

Extra Credit: 11 points total

  • Lab attendance – 1 point per week (week 9 is free for all) [total 9 pts]
  • Mid/end of term course evaluations – 1 point [total 2 pts]


90 ­ = A
87.5 = A-

85 ­ = B+
80 ­ = B
77.5 = B-

75 ­ = C+
70 ­ = C
67.5 = C-

65 ­ = D+
60 ­ = D
57.5 = D-

below 57.5 = F

 

Kent's Data Sets (for homework, from lectures, etc.)

Notice: Because these files are password protected, to transfer them into Eviews, you will need to open the document using the password, select the content (e.g., by using control+a and then control+c), and then right-click on the grey area of Eviews and select Paste as new Workfile.

     Census Codes   BookstoreData    2008MarchCPS  2008NovCPS  2009MarchCPS EviewsNotation        

 

Comments and Hints
(here's a big hint!)
Some notation

  • For all of Econ 15A-B, whenever we mention a data set, you may always assume that it contains at least two distinct (i.e., unequal) numbers.
  • Always calculate to two digits of precision. Do not round up; simply drop any remaining digits.

 

All the files from "Xfiles"

To make life easier for you, I have put here all the files in the "Xfiles" folder from the CD that accompanied our textbook. Enjoy!

 


Agedisc
Discdata.xls (the Age Discrimination data file)

Energy
Argnteng.xls
Auseng.xls
Koreng.xls
Noreng.xls
Phileng.xls
Usaeng.xls

Firmdata
Avon.xls
Campbell.xls
Digital.xls
Goodyear.xls
Hasbro.xls
Johnson.xls
Three_m.xls



Gnp
Domgnp (subfolder)
Domgnp.xls
Intlgnp (subfolder)
Swegnp.xls
Ukgnp.xls
Usgnp.xls

Intrate
Monyld.xls

Misc
Age65.xls
Airbomb.xls
Anovastat.xls
Arms.xls
Birds.xls
Bldpill.xls
Caffeine.xls
Capital.xls
Cardata.xls
Cars93.xls
Chal.xls
Cities2.xls
Coles.xls
Cosize.xls
Cryanova.xls
Die8.xls
Energgdp.xls
Enerstus.xls
Film.xls
Food.xls
Geyser1.xls
Geyser2.xls
Grades.xls
Highway3.xls
Housing.xls
Htmw.xls
Htwtkest.xls
Humandev.xls
Husbands.xls
Nyseotc.xls
Psychol.xls
Rock.xls
Ror.xls
Tent.xls
Test.xls
Varreg1.xls
Varreg2.xls
Varreg3.xls

Readme (text files describing the groups of data sets)
Readage.txt
Readeng.txt
Readfirm.txt
Readgnp.txt
Readindx.txt
Readintr.txt
Readmisc.txt
Readtest.txt
Readwhet.txt

Testscor
Psatcell.xls
Psatsat.xls

Wheatpr
Europe.xls
French.xls


 

Fine Print


Students are responsible for checking their UCI email accounts daily, and for checking this website for notifications daily. 


Academic dishonesty will not be tolerated. Students caught engaging in any form of academic dishonesty will receive an F for the course.

 

You should plan to take all four exams. While I will drop your lowest score, you may need to do this due to adverse circumstances, which include but are not limited to: conflicts with your athletic/band/debate/social/work schedule, illness, stuck in traffic, forgot the test date, job/internship interview, alien abduction, family emergency, doctor’s appointment, too stoned to stand, weather difficulties, etc. If this course is a sufficiently low priority for you that you will miss half or more of the exams, you may wish to consider whether this is the right time for you to be taking a university-level class.

 

Hand-held calculators come in a very wide variety of computing powers. I do not wish to require a certain type of calculator for the exams, but it is also unfair to penalize some students for not remembering data that other students have on their more powerful calculators. Thus, the following rule applies. During exams, only calculators capable of very basic functions are permitted. Calculators capable of displaying graphs, storing content (e.g., such as definitions, etc.), interfacing with a computer (e.g., a laptop), or part of a phone are not permitted in the exam. Students using calculators that can store content regardless of what information has or has not been placed onto the device have committed an act of academic dishonesty, and are subject to the penalties therein. If you have any doubts about the permissibility of your calculator, check with me or a TA well in advance of the exam. Here are some examples of permissible and impermissible calculators.


Any concerns regarding homework or extra credit (lab attendance, test preps, etc.) must be addressed within one week of the relevant score’s being posted on EEE. After that, the scores are written in stone.

 

Any concerns regarding exams must be addressed within two weeks of the relevant score’s being posted on EEE. After that, the scores are written in stone.

 
Roster, Schedule

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